Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 1210.324230 1372.187038 1551.076555 1764.030934 2011.381134 2290.516633 2630.619396
2025-10-19 968.317215 1184.418431 1445.157160 1785.407262 2221.318541 2765.924408 3505.478209
2025-10-26 835.718055 1073.695594 1377.776442 1799.664150 2377.487918 3152.374424 4289.322583
2025-11-02 755.352568 1010.100153 1351.308506 1849.529284 2571.595902 3600.802064 5217.071153
2025-11-09 685.400927 947.779072 1313.420516 1871.089907 2719.764665 3995.816175 6124.824290
2025-11-16 627.060373 892.792264 1276.199625 1883.976476 2850.286762 4375.404218 7066.022355
2025-11-23 580.574687 848.659563 1247.836319 1903.365059 2988.652099 4781.064620 8115.298051
2025-11-30 544.419336 815.432893 1230.956908 1936.321959 3149.761653 5242.830081 9341.847917
2025-12-07 495.334291 757.004097 1168.069103 1885.483976 3160.247856 5442.080384 10113.666644
2025-12-14 452.615641 704.541010 1109.199397 1833.719160 3160.402379 5619.078069 10869.110550
2025-12-21 413.667328 654.711215 1049.793349 1773.893835 3137.028402 5746.020875 11541.452618
2025-12-28 400.140471 645.679423 1057.739413 1833.997874 3344.038271 6347.708414 13346.046889
2026-01-04 380.852321 625.959060 1046.653373 1860.367300 3494.313927 6869.089732 15112.170909
2026-01-11 361.940877 605.389755 1032.325515 1879.357021 3633.389887 7392.157779 17012.881850
2026-01-18 344.387998 585.613556 1017.339401 1894.822292 3766.325719 7922.254003 19057.752527
2026-01-25 333.349012 576.571002 1021.125956 1947.712064 3986.083350 8686.534390 21914.335672
2026-02-01 319.404374 560.974602 1010.976024 1970.600683 4142.301772 9327.611568 24604.374168
2026-02-08 305.517090 544.350054 997.278727 1984.280159 4279.075513 9944.767496 27397.864909
2026-02-15 293.488568 530.313804 987.375741 2004.863742 4434.783155 10638.340198 30630.272909
2026-02-22 283.836991 520.123537 984.228310 2039.856259 4630.339633 11474.274171 34584.515236
2026-03-01 266.094322 492.701615 943.634279 1985.880524 4596.204613 11673.333245 36438.499551
2026-03-08 249.658154 466.814964 904.293694 1930.934400 4552.608886 11839.042523 38231.440634
2026-03-15 233.681421 440.861734 862.966574 1867.449975 4478.902527 11905.860000 39689.383408